Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BNXT League Europe

LeidenHOME · -

86 : 602024.02.11 · 종료

Den HelderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.4%

VALUE EDGE+74.4%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADES

LeidenAnalysis MetricsDen Helder

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -16.92

152.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.42

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Leiden

L · 78-57W · 81-77W · 72-64L · 90-77W · 71-76

Den Helder

L · 64-80L · 64-75L · 81-66W · 66-61L · 75-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Leiden	86 : 60	Den Helder
2023.09.24	Den Helder	65 : 100	Leiden
2022.12.11	Leiden	93 : 59	Den Helder
2022.10.09	Den Helder	79 : 105	Leiden
2022.02.06	Leiden	89 : 68	Den Helder