Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
BAL WeertHOME · -
59 : 642023.12.24 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
BAL WeertAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-13.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
155.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.25
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BAL Weert
L · 80-55W · 85-68L · 73-79L · 71-88W · 70-73
Donar Groningen
W · 75-51W · 57-52L · 70-72L · 85-77L · 70-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.24 | BAL Weert | 59 : 64 | Donar Groningen |
| 2023.10.29 | Donar Groningen | 70 : 73 | BAL Weert |
| 2023.01.16 | BAL Weert | 52 : 78 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.10.30 | Donar Groningen | 76 : 63 | BAL Weert |
| 2022.01.21 | BAL Weert | 0 : 20 | Donar Groningen |