Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Yoast UtdHOME · -
83 : 792023.12.11 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Yoast UtdAnalysis MetricsLeiden
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-10.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
148.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Yoast Utd
L · 75-84L · 87-70L · 76-81L · 91-71W · 81-60
Leiden
L · 77-82W · 70-72W · 85-77W · 80-76W · 72-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.11 | Yoast Utd | 83 : 79 | Leiden |
| 2023.10.01 | Leiden | 102 : 58 | Yoast Utd |
| 2023.02.19 | Leiden | 72 : 80 | Yoast Utd |
| 2022.10.22 | Yoast Utd | 68 : 79 | Leiden |
| 2022.02.18 | Yoast Utd | 82 : 88 | Leiden |