Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Donar GroningenHOME · -
70 : 722023.11.29 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
Donar GroningenAnalysis MetricsLeiden
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
166.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
9.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Donar Groningen
L · 85-77L · 70-73W · 82-54W · 51-82L · 53-75
Leiden
W · 85-77W · 80-76W · 72-67L · 74-46W · 71-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Leiden | 83 : 96 | Donar Groningen |
| 2023.11.29 | Donar Groningen | 70 : 72 | Leiden |
| 2023.11.19 | Leiden | 85 : 77 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.12.07 | Donar Groningen | 62 : 70 | Leiden |
| 2022.11.18 | Leiden | 84 : 68 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.06.12 | Leiden | 71 : 70 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.06.10 | Donar Groningen | 72 : 75 | Leiden |