Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
LeidenHOME · -
85 : 772023.11.19 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEB
LeidenAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.25
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 80-76W · 72-67L · 74-46W · 71-88W · 0-20
Donar Groningen
L · 70-73W · 82-54W · 51-82L · 53-75W · 65-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Leiden | 83 : 96 | Donar Groningen |
| 2023.11.29 | Donar Groningen | 70 : 72 | Leiden |
| 2023.11.19 | Leiden | 85 : 77 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.12.07 | Donar Groningen | 62 : 70 | Leiden |
| 2022.11.18 | Leiden | 84 : 68 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.06.12 | Leiden | 71 : 70 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.06.10 | Donar Groningen | 72 : 75 | Leiden |