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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
Spirou CharleroiHOME · -
63 : 612023.11.18 · 종료
Circus BrusselsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.3%
VALUE EDGE+56.3%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Spirou CharleroiAnalysis MetricsCircus Brussels
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+7.08 Point MarginHigher is better +4.25
153.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spirou Charleroi
L · 76-70W · 69-98L · 67-75L · 82-58W · 80-87
Circus Brussels
L · 58-83W · 90-76W · 85-66L · 75-67W · 82-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.27Circus Brussels63 : 71Spirou Charleroi
2023.12.11Spirou Charleroi47 : 43Circus Brussels
2023.12.09Circus Brussels68 : 68Spirou Charleroi
2023.11.18Spirou Charleroi63 : 61Circus Brussels
2023.05.14Spirou Charleroi85 : 83Circus Brussels
2023.05.13Circus Brussels61 : 84Spirou Charleroi
2023.01.08Spirou Charleroi80 : 66Circus Brussels
2022.10.16Circus Brussels55 : 74Spirou Charleroi
2022.01.30Spirou Charleroi77 : 68Circus Brussels
2022.01.27Circus Brussels71 : 85Spirou Charleroi