Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
LeidenHOME · -
72 : 672023.11.12 · 종료
LWD BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.8%
VALUE EDGE+81.8%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
LeidenAnalysis MetricsLWD Basket
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
L · 74-46W · 71-88W · 0-20W · 74-65W · 54-84
LWD Basket
L · 75-76L · 76-69L · 103-73L · 60-93L · 86-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.18 | LWD Basket | 101 : 82 | Leiden |
| 2023.11.12 | Leiden | 72 : 67 | LWD Basket |
| 2023.01.14 | LWD Basket | 75 : 76 | Leiden |
| 2022.11.06 | Leiden | 87 : 70 | LWD Basket |