Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
LeidenHOME · -
74 : 652023.10.29 · 종료
ZwolleAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.7%
VALUE EDGE+71.7%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
LeidenAnalysis MetricsZwolle
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.75
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.75
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 54-84W · 73-80W · 77-69L · 78-54W · 102-58
Zwolle
W · 69-61L · 71-75W · 53-75W · 78-63W · 60-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.14 | Zwolle | 71 : 76 | Leiden |
| 2023.10.29 | Leiden | 74 : 65 | Zwolle |
| 2023.01.08 | Leiden | 76 : 65 | Zwolle |
| 2022.10.30 | Zwolle | 84 : 83 | Leiden |