Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Den HelderHOME · -
51 : 822023.10.15 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.2%
VALUE EDGE+73.2%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Den HelderAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.25
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Den Helder
L · 61-73L · 78-63L · 65-100W · 78-83L · 82-98
Donar Groningen
L · 53-75W · 65-62L · 69-65L · 72-75L · 73-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.10 | Donar Groningen | 75 : 51 | Den Helder |
| 2023.10.15 | Den Helder | 51 : 82 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.12.28 | Den Helder | 71 : 103 | Donar Groningen |
| 2022.10.22 | Donar Groningen | 96 : 57 | Den Helder |