Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
MechelenHOME · -
91 : 842023.10.08 · 종료
Okapi AalstAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.5%
VALUE EDGE+62.5%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalst
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-12.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.42
173.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.08
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
L · 65-69W · 76-75L · 90-84L · 73-83L · 93-71
Okapi Aalst
L · 80-87L · 93-89L · 85-63L · 101-65W · 81-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Mechelen | 79 : 94 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2026.05.17 | Mechelen | 85 : 90 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2026.05.16 | Okapi Aalst | 93 : 84 | Mechelen |
| 2024.04.21 | Okapi Aalst | 72 : 81 | Mechelen |
| 2024.01.13 | Okapi Aalst | 82 : 80 | Mechelen |
| 2023.10.08 | Mechelen | 91 : 84 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2023.01.15 | Mechelen | 90 : 98 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2022.12.04 | Okapi Aalst | 77 : 81 | Mechelen |
| 2021.10.10 | Mechelen | 71 : 77 | Okapi Aalst |