Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Den BoschHOME · -
78 : 542023.10.08 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Den BoschAnalysis MetricsLeiden
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
158.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Den Bosch
W · 103-73L · 74-63L · 71-74L · 80-70L · 87-80
Leiden
W · 102-58W · 65-100W · 80-91L · 63-76W · 66-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.24 | Leiden | 55 : 70 | Den Bosch |
| 2023.10.08 | Den Bosch | 78 : 54 | Leiden |
| 2022.12.26 | Den Bosch | 79 : 74 | Leiden |
| 2022.10.23 | Leiden | 81 : 88 | Den Bosch |