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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
LeidenHOME · -
102 : 582023.10.01 · 종료
Yoast UtdAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.5%
VALUE EDGE+76.5%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
LeidenAnalysis MetricsYoast Utd
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -10.75
152.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.75
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 65-100W · 80-91L · 63-76W · 66-79W · 71-58
Yoast Utd
L · 79-86W · 91-82L · 86-75L · 89-84L · 79-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.11Yoast Utd83 : 79Leiden
2023.10.01Leiden102 : 58Yoast Utd
2023.02.19Leiden72 : 80Yoast Utd
2022.10.22Yoast Utd68 : 79Leiden
2022.02.18Yoast Utd82 : 88Leiden