Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

BNXT League Europe

Den HelderHOME · -

65 : 1002023.09.24 · 종료

LeidenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY79.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +79.8%

VALUE EDGE+79.8%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADES

Den HelderAnalysis MetricsLeiden

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-16.92 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33

152.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

20.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

79.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Den Helder

W · 78-83L · 82-98L · 85-56W · 90-89L · 98-68

Leiden

W · 80-91L · 63-76W · 66-79W · 71-58W · 67-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Leiden	86 : 60	Den Helder
2023.09.24	Den Helder	65 : 100	Leiden
2022.12.11	Leiden	93 : 59	Den Helder
2022.10.09	Den Helder	79 : 105	Leiden
2022.02.06	Leiden	89 : 68	Den Helder