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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe · BNXT League - Quarter-finals
MechelenHOME · -
85 : 892022.06.04 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
174.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.42
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
W · 84-86L · 83-91L · 86-69W · 84-74L · 103-60
Donar Groningen
L · 84-86L · 102-88W · 97-63W · 110-88W · 70-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.23Donar Groningen73 : 48Mechelen
2023.04.20Mechelen74 : 72Donar Groningen
2022.06.04Mechelen85 : 89Donar Groningen
2022.06.02Donar Groningen84 : 86Mechelen
2022.04.16Donar Groningen71 : 66Mechelen
2022.03.31Mechelen86 : 61Donar Groningen