Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BNXT League Europe · BNXT League - Quarter-finals

Donar GroningenHOME · -

84 : 862022.06.02 · 종료

MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.9%

VALUE EDGE+54.9%

FAIR ODDS1.82

GRADEA

Donar GroningenAnalysis MetricsMechelen

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better -10.50

165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation4.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Donar Groningen

L · 102-88W · 97-63W · 110-88W · 70-78L · 70-87

Mechelen

L · 83-91L · 86-69W · 84-74L · 103-60W · 77-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.23	Donar Groningen	73 : 48	Mechelen
2023.04.20	Mechelen	74 : 72	Donar Groningen
2022.06.04	Mechelen	85 : 89	Donar Groningen
2022.06.02	Donar Groningen	84 : 86	Mechelen
2022.04.16	Donar Groningen	71 : 66	Mechelen
2022.03.31	Mechelen	86 : 61	Donar Groningen