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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
Den HelderHOME · -
66 : 862022.04.20 · 종료
Okapi AalstAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Den HelderAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalst
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-16.92 Point MarginHigher is better +0.83
152.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Den Helder
L · 73-113L · 80-85W · 82-94W · 90-79L · 99-87
Okapi Aalst
W · 118-65L · 82-75W · 97-69W · 87-75W · 58-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.04Okapi Aalst94 : 75Den Helder
2024.03.24Den Helder69 : 81Okapi Aalst
2023.04.16Den Helder76 : 77Okapi Aalst
2023.03.26Okapi Aalst105 : 81Den Helder
2022.04.20Den Helder66 : 86Okapi Aalst