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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
LeidenHOME · -
74 : 662022.04.14 · 종료
Belfius MonsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
LeidenAnalysis MetricsBelfius Mons
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-7.50 Point MarginHigher is better -11.58
152.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.75
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 83-92L · 90-82L · 71-77L · 78-70W · 95-66
Belfius Mons
W · 85-86W · 76-67L · 81-75L · 74-80W · 88-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.08Belfius Mons79 : 99Leiden
2022.04.14Leiden74 : 66Belfius Mons
2022.03.13Belfius Mons74 : 80Leiden