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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
MechelenHOME · -
86 : 612022.03.31 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
174.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.17
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
W · 84-66W · 56-70W · 98-93W · 79-74L · 76-79
Donar Groningen
W · 81-75L · 98-74W · 81-69W · 0-20W · 0-20

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.23Donar Groningen73 : 48Mechelen
2023.04.20Mechelen74 : 72Donar Groningen
2022.06.04Mechelen85 : 89Donar Groningen
2022.06.02Donar Groningen84 : 86Mechelen
2022.04.16Donar Groningen71 : 66Mechelen
2022.03.31Mechelen86 : 61Donar Groningen