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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe · BNXT League - Semi-finals
Spirou CharleroiHOME · -
67 : 862023.06.06 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Spirou CharleroiAnalysis MetricsLeiden
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+7.08 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33
153.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spirou Charleroi
W · 67-77W · 85-67W · 79-72W · 82-83W · 86-65
Leiden
L · 75-77L · 76-64W · 59-55L · 81-56W · 86-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.04Spirou Charleroi65 : 71Leiden
2024.03.03Leiden70 : 45Spirou Charleroi
2023.06.08Leiden71 : 58Spirou Charleroi
2023.06.06Spirou Charleroi67 : 86Leiden
2023.04.02Leiden86 : 66Spirou Charleroi