Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BNXT League Europe

Donar GroningenHOME · -

73 : 482023.04.23 · 종료

MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.0%

VALUE EDGE+53.0%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

Donar GroningenAnalysis MetricsMechelen

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better -12.33

165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.83

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.2 / 15

Prediction separation2.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Donar Groningen

L · 74-72W · 69-55W · 77-88W · 63-60L · 51-65

Mechelen

W · 74-72L · 84-81W · 70-53W · 90-96W · 75-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.23	Donar Groningen	73 : 48	Mechelen
2023.04.20	Mechelen	74 : 72	Donar Groningen
2022.06.04	Mechelen	85 : 89	Donar Groningen
2022.06.02	Donar Groningen	84 : 86	Mechelen
2022.04.16	Donar Groningen	71 : 66	Mechelen
2022.03.31	Mechelen	86 : 61	Donar Groningen