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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
MechelenHOME · -
74 : 722023.04.20 · 종료
Donar GroningenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.7%
VALUE EDGE+59.7%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsDonar Groningen
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-12.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
173.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.42
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
L · 84-81W · 70-53W · 90-96W · 75-77W · 101-62
Donar Groningen
W · 69-55W · 77-88W · 63-60L · 51-65W · 68-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.23Donar Groningen73 : 48Mechelen
2023.04.20Mechelen74 : 72Donar Groningen
2022.06.04Mechelen85 : 89Donar Groningen
2022.06.02Donar Groningen84 : 86Mechelen
2022.04.16Donar Groningen71 : 66Mechelen
2022.03.31Mechelen86 : 61Donar Groningen