Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Den HelderHOME · -
72 : 872023.03.29 · 종료
LiegeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Den HelderAnalysis MetricsLiege
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-16.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.92
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Den Helder
L · 105-81L · 77-87L · 88-64L · 84-81L · 80-72
Liege
W · 79-67W · 82-88W · 103-60W · 78-74W · 84-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.20 | Liege | 98 : 68 | Den Helder |
| 2023.03.29 | Den Helder | 72 : 87 | Liege |
| 2022.04.03 | Den Helder | 90 : 79 | Liege |
| 2022.03.16 | Liege | 85 : 72 | Den Helder |