Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe

MechelenHOME · -
80 : 792023.03.05 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsLeiden
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-12.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
173.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
W · 82-71L · 84-85L · 72-68W · 67-80W · 91-75
Leiden
L · 72-80W · 95-49W · 58-72L · 80-75W · 75-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.30 | Leiden | 75 : 77 | Mechelen |
| 2023.03.05 | Mechelen | 80 : 79 | Leiden |
| 2022.04.30 | Leiden | 84 : 67 | Mechelen |
| 2022.03.05 | Mechelen | 98 : 93 | Leiden |