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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe · 15
MechelenHOME · -
90 : 982023.01.15 · 종료
Okapi AalstAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalst
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-12.33 Point MarginHigher is better +1.42
173.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
L · 84-75W · 85-79L · 79-63W · 85-71L · 90-74
Okapi Aalst
L · 84-86L · 88-69L · 96-62L · 80-76L · 80-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11Mechelen79 : 94Okapi Aalst
2026.05.17Mechelen85 : 90Okapi Aalst
2026.05.16Okapi Aalst93 : 84Mechelen
2024.04.21Okapi Aalst72 : 81Mechelen
2024.01.13Okapi Aalst82 : 80Mechelen
2023.10.08Mechelen91 : 84Okapi Aalst
2023.01.15Mechelen90 : 98Okapi Aalst
2022.12.04Okapi Aalst77 : 81Mechelen
2021.10.10Mechelen71 : 77Okapi Aalst