Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 14
LWD BasketHOME · -
75 : 762023.01.14 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
LWD BasketAnalysis MetricsLeiden
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
164.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
LWD Basket
W · 62-73W · 68-86W · 74-93W · 79-69W · 83-72
Leiden
W · 76-65L · 79-74W · 93-59W · 62-70W · 0-20
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.18 | LWD Basket | 101 : 82 | Leiden |
| 2023.11.12 | Leiden | 72 : 67 | LWD Basket |
| 2023.01.14 | LWD Basket | 75 : 76 | Leiden |
| 2022.11.06 | Leiden | 87 : 70 | LWD Basket |