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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe · 9
Okapi AalstHOME · -
77 : 812022.12.04 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.3%
VALUE EDGE+68.3%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADES
Okapi AalstAnalysis MetricsMechelen
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -12.33
172.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.83
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalst
W · 68-78W · 88-71W · 78-76W · 74-93W · 84-82
Mechelen
L · 72-86W · 89-80L · 89-69W · 76-88W · 105-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11Mechelen79 : 94Okapi Aalst
2026.05.17Mechelen85 : 90Okapi Aalst
2026.05.16Okapi Aalst93 : 84Mechelen
2024.04.21Okapi Aalst72 : 81Mechelen
2024.01.13Okapi Aalst82 : 80Mechelen
2023.10.08Mechelen91 : 84Okapi Aalst
2023.01.15Mechelen90 : 98Okapi Aalst
2022.12.04Okapi Aalst77 : 81Mechelen
2021.10.10Mechelen71 : 77Okapi Aalst