Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 8
LeidenHOME · -
99 : 432022.11.20 · 종료
BAL WeertAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADES
LeidenAnalysis MetricsBAL Weert
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.75
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 84-68W · 87-70L · 84-83L · 81-88W · 68-79
BAL Weert
L · 65-82L · 76-63L · 85-109L · 74-55W · 89-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.28 | Leiden | 72 : 64 | BAL Weert |
| 2023.11.05 | BAL Weert | 71 : 88 | Leiden |
| 2023.02.05 | BAL Weert | 58 : 72 | Leiden |
| 2022.11.20 | Leiden | 99 : 43 | BAL Weert |