Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BNXT League Europe · 7

LeidenHOME · -

87 : 702022.11.06 · 종료

LWD BasketAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.8%

VALUE EDGE+68.8%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEA

LeidenAnalysis MetricsLWD Basket

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83

152.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Leiden

L · 84-83L · 81-88W · 68-79W · 70-66W · 79-105

LWD Basket

W · 110-94W · 75-77W · 74-55L · 85-70W · 70-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.18	LWD Basket	101 : 82	Leiden
2023.11.12	Leiden	72 : 67	LWD Basket
2023.01.14	LWD Basket	75 : 76	Leiden
2022.11.06	Leiden	87 : 70	LWD Basket