Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 5
Den HelderHOME · -
75 : 772022.10.23 · 종료
LWD BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Den HelderAnalysis MetricsLWD Basket
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Den Helder
L · 96-57L · 80-93L · 79-105W · 75-77L · 108-84
LWD Basket
W · 74-55L · 85-70W · 70-76L · 92-94L · 83-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.14 | Den Helder | 64 : 75 | LWD Basket |
| 2023.10.27 | LWD Basket | 75 : 76 | Den Helder |
| 2023.01.28 | LWD Basket | 91 : 67 | Den Helder |
| 2022.10.23 | Den Helder | 75 : 77 | LWD Basket |