Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

BNXT League Europe · 5

LeidenHOME · -

81 : 882022.10.23 · 종료

Den BoschAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.2%

VALUE EDGE+61.2%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADEA

LeidenAnalysis MetricsDen Bosch

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

152.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.33

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Leiden

W · 68-79W · 70-66W · 79-105L · 59-71W · 74-78

Den Bosch

W · 87-55W · 85-70L · 83-78W · 50-112W · 63-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.12.24	Leiden	55 : 70	Den Bosch
2023.10.08	Den Bosch	78 : 54	Leiden
2022.12.26	Den Bosch	79 : 74	Leiden
2022.10.23	Leiden	81 : 88	Den Bosch