Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 4
Yoast UtdHOME · -
68 : 792022.10.22 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Yoast UtdAnalysis MetricsLeiden
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-10.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
148.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Yoast Utd
W · 80-93W · 74-70W · 92-94L · 81-70D · 82-82
Leiden
W · 70-66W · 79-105L · 59-71W · 74-78W · 71-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.11 | Yoast Utd | 83 : 79 | Leiden |
| 2023.10.01 | Leiden | 102 : 58 | Yoast Utd |
| 2023.02.19 | Leiden | 72 : 80 | Yoast Utd |
| 2022.10.22 | Yoast Utd | 68 : 79 | Leiden |
| 2022.02.18 | Yoast Utd | 82 : 88 | Leiden |