Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

BNXT League Europe · 2

Den HelderHOME · -

79 : 1052022.10.09 · 종료

LeidenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY72.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +72.5%

VALUE EDGE+72.5%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

Den HelderAnalysis MetricsLeiden

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-16.92 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33

152.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

27.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

72.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Den Helder

W · 75-77L · 108-84L · 79-93L · 113-66L · 66-86

Leiden

L · 59-71W · 74-78W · 71-70W · 72-75W · 78-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Leiden	86 : 60	Den Helder
2023.09.24	Den Helder	65 : 100	Leiden
2022.12.11	Leiden	93 : 59	Den Helder
2022.10.09	Den Helder	79 : 105	Leiden
2022.02.06	Leiden	89 : 68	Den Helder