Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 1
Circus BrusselsHOME · -
81 : 732022.10.02 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Circus BrusselsAnalysis MetricsMechelen
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.33
156.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.83
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Circus Brussels
W · 85-92L · 63-95L · 75-80W · 65-72W · 53-82
Mechelen
L · 85-89W · 84-86L · 83-91L · 86-69W · 84-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.28 | Mechelen | 58 : 79 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.12.02 | Circus Brussels | 74 : 88 | Mechelen |
| 2022.12.18 | Mechelen | 85 : 71 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.10.02 | Circus Brussels | 81 : 73 | Mechelen |
| 2022.02.17 | Mechelen | 79 : 74 | Circus Brussels |
| 2021.11.21 | Circus Brussels | 76 : 112 | Mechelen |
| 2021.01.07 | Mechelen | 99 : 79 | Circus Brussels |
| 2020.12.23 | Circus Brussels | 89 : 87 | Mechelen |