Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe · 1
LiegeHOME · -
82 : 732022.10.02 · 종료
Okapi AalstAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
LiegeAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalst
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+6.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.42
165.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Liege
W · 75-80L · 65-72W · 68-70L · 103-87W · 75-88
Okapi Aalst
L · 74-66L · 71-73W · 83-67W · 61-78W · 88-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.06 | Liege | 81 : 62 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2023.11.11 | Okapi Aalst | 80 : 83 | Liege |
| 2023.01.14 | Okapi Aalst | 84 : 86 | Liege |
| 2022.10.02 | Liege | 82 : 73 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2021.11.06 | Liege | 70 : 55 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2021.09.25 | Okapi Aalst | 77 : 71 | Liege |
| 2021.01.14 | Liege | 70 : 80 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2021.01.06 | Okapi Aalst | 101 : 58 | Liege |