Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BIBL
Europe
Lovcen CetinjeHOME · -
78 : 752023.12.01 · 종료
AELAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEB
Lovcen CetinjeAnalysis MetricsAEL
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.58
168.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lovcen Cetinje
W · 90-83W · 95-75W · 80-74L · 99-86L · 74-88
AEL
W · 51-72W · 93-42L · 92-68W · 75-72L · 96-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.19 | AEL | 78 : 61 | Lovcen Cetinje |
| 2023.12.01 | Lovcen Cetinje | 78 : 75 | AEL |