Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Baltic League Cup Europe · Baltic League Cup - 3rd place

SiauliaiHOME · -

76 : 862014.09.28 · 종료

VentspilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.0%

VALUE EDGE+59.0%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

SiauliaiAnalysis MetricsVentspils

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17

168.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.5 / 15

Prediction separation7.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Siauliai

L · 59-62W · 82-80W · 68-78W · 77-75L · 96-82

Ventspils

L · 71-67W · 59-63L · 68-71L · 70-63L · 86-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.09.24	Siauliai	44 : 103	Ventspils
2015.03.26	Ventspils	70 : 68	Siauliai
2014.09.28	Siauliai	76 : 86	Ventspils