Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Final
VentspilsHOME · -
70 : 682015.03.26 · 종료
SiauliaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.0%
VALUE EDGE+75.0%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsSiauliai
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 72-76W · 74-49W · 59-78W · 70-64W · 55-70
Siauliai
D · 60-60W · 73-69W · 66-78W · 103-81W · 70-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.09.24 | Siauliai | 44 : 103 | Ventspils |
| 2015.03.26 | Ventspils | 70 : 68 | Siauliai |
| 2014.09.28 | Siauliai | 76 : 86 | Ventspils |