Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Semi-finals
VentspilsHOME · -
74 : 492015.03.12 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.00
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 59-78W · 70-64W · 55-70W · 105-75W · 76-86
Tartu Ulikool
W · 59-49W · 67-73W · 100-68W · 84-66W · 84-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | Ventspils | 92 : 85 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.04.06 | Ventspils | 103 : 83 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.04.04 | Tartu Ulikool | 82 : 69 | Ventspils |
| 2024.03.30 | Ventspils | 103 : 69 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.01.31 | Ventspils | 92 : 63 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.04.01 | Tartu Ulikool | 92 : 69 | Ventspils |
| 2023.03.30 | Ventspils | 79 : 88 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.03.25 | Tartu Ulikool | 80 : 90 | Ventspils |
| 2023.01.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 65 : 78 | Ventspils |
| 2022.11.19 | Ventspils | 84 : 99 | Tartu Ulikool |