Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
LietkabelisHOME · -
66 : 782015.03.05 · 종료
SiauliaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.3%
VALUE EDGE+79.3%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsSiauliai
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
157.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
L · 103-81W · 96-75L · 78-64W · 74-81L · 74-71
Siauliai
W · 103-81W · 70-82W · 108-71L · 76-86L · 59-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.24 | Siauliai | 86 : 77 | Lietkabelis |
| 2021.04.16 | Siauliai | 97 : 87 | Lietkabelis |
| 2021.03.04 | Siauliai | 84 : 86 | Lietkabelis |
| 2020.10.18 | Lietkabelis | 101 : 76 | Siauliai |
| 2020.01.03 | Siauliai | 71 : 80 | Lietkabelis |
| 2019.12.23 | Lietkabelis | 88 : 70 | Siauliai |
| 2019.04.19 | Siauliai | 81 : 101 | Lietkabelis |
| 2019.02.03 | Lietkabelis | 95 : 83 | Siauliai |
| 2018.11.11 | Siauliai | 83 : 88 | Lietkabelis |
| 2018.10.15 | Lietkabelis | 81 : 73 | Siauliai |