Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
VentspilsHOME · -
70 : 642015.02.27 · 종료
Pyrinto TampereAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.6%
VALUE EDGE+69.6%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEB
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsPyrinto Tampere
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 55-70W · 105-75W · 76-86L · 71-67W · 59-63
Pyrinto Tampere
L · 84-78W · 107-73W · 83-53W · 80-97L · 70-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.05 | Pyrinto Tampere | 59 : 78 | Ventspils |
| 2015.02.27 | Ventspils | 70 : 64 | Pyrinto Tampere |