Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
55 : 702015.02.11 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsVentspils
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 105-75W · 85-67L · 87-68L · 63-79L · 77-54
Ventspils
W · 105-75W · 76-86L · 71-67W · 59-63L · 68-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.06 | Rapla | 72 : 76 | Ventspils |
| 2023.11.04 | Ventspils | 88 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2022.12.24 | Ventspils | 82 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2022.10.22 | Rapla | 78 : 87 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.03 | Rapla | 72 : 93 | Ventspils |
| 2018.10.27 | Ventspils | 100 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2015.02.11 | Rapla | 55 : 70 | Ventspils |
| 2015.02.04 | Ventspils | 105 : 75 | Rapla |