Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
105 : 752015.02.04 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsRapla
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 76-86L · 71-67W · 59-63L · 68-71L · 70-63
Rapla
W · 85-67L · 87-68L · 63-79L · 77-54L · 76-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.06 | Rapla | 72 : 76 | Ventspils |
| 2023.11.04 | Ventspils | 88 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2022.12.24 | Ventspils | 82 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2022.10.22 | Rapla | 78 : 87 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.03 | Rapla | 72 : 93 | Ventspils |
| 2018.10.27 | Ventspils | 100 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2015.02.11 | Rapla | 55 : 70 | Ventspils |
| 2015.02.04 | Ventspils | 105 : 75 | Rapla |