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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Pieno ZvaigzdesHOME · -
84 : 772015.01.15 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEB
Pieno ZvaigzdesAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
172.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
W · 80-108L · 73-74W · 77-62W · 73-82W · 71-97
BC Kalev
W · 88-74L · 73-74L · 69-63L · 73-83W · 83-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.15Pieno Zvaigzdes84 : 77BC Kalev