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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
JurmalaHOME · -
72 : 642015.01.14 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
JurmalaAnalysis MetricsParnu
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83
153.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jurmala
W · 69-63L · 90-75W · 70-69L · 78-68L · 71-97
Parnu
L · 80-108W · 83-71W · 73-83L · 77-62L · 81-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.03.18Parnu87 : 72Jurmala
2018.12.16Jurmala89 : 93Parnu
2016.11.30Jurmala61 : 56Parnu
2016.11.02Parnu64 : 72Jurmala
2015.01.14Jurmala72 : 64Parnu
2014.11.13Parnu78 : 68Jurmala