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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Valmiera/ORDOHOME · -
74 : 712015.01.08 · 종료
LietkabelisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.1%
VALUE EDGE+57.1%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Valmiera/ORDOAnalysis MetricsLietkabelis
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00
149.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 73-90W · 88-71L · 78-67W · 71-68W · 59-83
Lietkabelis
W · 85-81W · 62-75W · 116-54W · 104-53W · 84-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.06Lietkabelis86 : 64Valmiera/ORDO
2016.03.31Valmiera/ORDO90 : 74Lietkabelis
2016.01.20Valmiera/ORDO87 : 85Lietkabelis
2015.11.19Lietkabelis73 : 65Valmiera/ORDO
2015.01.08Valmiera/ORDO74 : 71Lietkabelis
2014.11.05Lietkabelis96 : 85Valmiera/ORDO