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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
83 : 712014.12.18 · 종료
Barons KvartalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsBarons Kvartals
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better +9.83
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
W · 73-83L · 77-62L · 81-78W · 78-68L · 70-80
Barons Kvartals
W · 90-75W · 73-74L · 80-97W · 81-78W · 75-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.01.05Barons Kvartals94 : 75Parnu
2016.01.20Parnu74 : 73Barons Kvartals
2015.11.19Barons Kvartals73 : 65Parnu
2014.12.18Parnu83 : 71Barons Kvartals
2014.11.20Barons Kvartals81 : 78Parnu