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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
LietkabelisHOME · -
85 : 812014.12.18 · 종료
ValgaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.0%
VALUE EDGE+86.0%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsValga
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -11.42
157.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
14.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
W · 62-75W · 116-54W · 104-53W · 84-74W · 96-85
Valga
L · 63-76W · 66-81W · 73-69L · 71-68L · 92-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.12.18Lietkabelis85 : 81Valga
2014.10.30Valga99 : 95Lietkabelis