Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe

LietkabelisHOME · -
85 : 812014.12.18 · 종료
ValgaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.0%
VALUE EDGE+86.0%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsValga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-6.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.42
157.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
W · 62-75W · 116-54W · 104-53W · 84-74W · 96-85
Valga
L · 63-76W · 66-81W · 73-69L · 71-68L · 92-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014.12.18 | Lietkabelis | 85 : 81 | Valga |
| 2014.10.30 | Valga | 99 : 95 | Lietkabelis |