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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
73 : 902014.12.17 · 종료
Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.92
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 66-81L · 104-53L · 92-74L · 66-72L · 76-55
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 88-71L · 78-67W · 71-68W · 59-83L · 96-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.25Valmiera/ORDO87 : 68Tallinna Kalev
2016.02.11Tallinna Kalev66 : 84Valmiera/ORDO
2016.01.06Tallinna Kalev80 : 79Valmiera/ORDO
2015.10.28Valmiera/ORDO72 : 65Tallinna Kalev
2014.12.17Tallinna Kalev73 : 90Valmiera/ORDO
2014.10.29Valmiera/ORDO73 : 63Tallinna Kalev