Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Baltic League Europe

ValgaHOME · -

63 : 762014.12.11 · 종료

JekabpilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.1%

VALUE EDGE+67.1%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEA

ValgaAnalysis MetricsJekabpils

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-11.42 Point MarginHigher is better -30.17

151.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.0 / 15

Prediction separation14.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valga

W · 66-81W · 73-69L · 71-68L · 92-69L · 80-67

Jekabpils

W · 78-67L · 84-74W · 66-72W · 87-71W · 76-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2019.02.21	Valga	59 : 70	Jekabpils
2018.12.23	Jekabpils	61 : 79	Valga
2014.12.11	Valga	63 : 76	Jekabpils
2014.10.23	Jekabpils	86 : 65	Valga