Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
66 : 812014.12.04 · 종료
ValgaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.3%
VALUE EDGE+67.3%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsValga
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.42
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 104-53L · 92-74L · 66-72L · 76-55W · 72-54
Valga
W · 73-69L · 71-68L · 92-69L · 80-67W · 99-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.03.10 | Valga | 78 : 90 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2018.10.06 | Tallinna Kalev | 87 : 61 | Valga |
| 2014.12.04 | Tallinna Kalev | 66 : 81 | Valga |
| 2014.10.15 | Valga | 86 : 75 | Tallinna Kalev |